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Prospectus's Post

This is something that I never have gotten used to in swing / position trading:

posted in stocks on Jun 18 2:24pm


25 Replies:

Fear of a big gap against me tomorrow. I'm long HANS and RVBD, but I'm hesitant to hold overnight. What if HANS gaps down to $40 tomorrow? That's way below my stop. It's not likely, but it could happen. I know what my R is intraday, but you have no way of knowing what it is if you hold overnight. With my R precisely defined, I can pick the best position size. With an overnight hold, I could be overexposed to risk.

How do you manage the overnight holding risks?

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:27pm

I'll reduce my position in HANS so that if it goes to $40, I'll still be down only -1R. I'll hold RVBD as is.

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:38pm

On second thought, I'll close HANS completely. I've been in the red since I took the trade, though it didn't hit my stop yet. Reduce and remove...

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:39pm

On third thought, it looks like $44.20 is a good support level for HANS. I guess I'll "sell to the sleeping point".

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:42pm

On fourth thought, it's starting to get some strength here. I'm not sure what to do...

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:44pm

would have sold some HANS and pilled money into RVBD

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 2:46pm

The only thing is I have to watch the daytrades due to my account size.

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:47pm

that's a BUMMER...can't jump in and out like it use to (pre-2000)

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 2:48pm

Wait until 1 minute to close. Then close out your position. Otherwise you'll hold until tomorrow, and who knows what tomorrow will bring.

posted by huntsman in stocks on Jun 18 2:51pm

Once my account is over 25K (I can dream, can't I?) then I don't have that problem.

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:54pm

I started with just a little over 10K in 1995 and was able to build my account...everything is possible

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 2:57pm

Sold half of my HANS. That's my sleeping point.

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 2:59pm

what was your entry for HANS...and the signal for buying it?

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:01pm

Well, I missed the big move on Friday, so I wanted in. I bought a break of yesterday's highs, in at $44.92, and my stop was 1$ below that, at $43.92. Position size based on that, so if it gapped down to $40, I'd lose about 4R. Hence I sold half at the close, so that's a -2R worst (hopefully) case. I didn't want to hold the full size since it was in the red all day. Gotta expect the market to fade your entry a bit, but I felt it was too much. I'm coming from a daytrading perspective, and the whole position trading mindset and timeframe is against my way of doing things...

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:06pm

I understand...for position/trend trading you should never buy a stock once it started its swing because you are at the mercy of profit takers.. always buy it at a proper buypoint or wait for some consolidation like flag or channel..see JCG

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:10pm

So you never buy breakouts for position trades? What is a proper buypoint? Inside of a consolidation? Looking at JCG.

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:14pm

So my entry in RVBD at $42.93 is a good one?

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:15pm

JCG at $50 was a good entry?

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:16pm

I buy as they breakout...HANS is in the middle of the move already...last Friday would have been the time to buy it...JCG is getting ready for a move so I gave it as an example...if you missed the first move...a next move is coming

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:16pm

between $50-51 would be the ideal entry

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:20pm

Now JCG above $53.20?

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:20pm

Stop $51?

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:21pm

low of the latest flag

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:27pm

Thanks, Pinoy. :)

posted by Prospectus in stocks on Jun 18 3:31pm

welcome

posted by pinoytrader in stocks on Jun 18 3:37pm

Welcome to wallstreak!


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